Too much going on around here with the end of the school year and working from home. I'll have an update this week, likely published this weekend.
Contrary to what the anti-stay-at-home activists claim, Governor Polis' mitigations were effective. They worked. And they saved lives.
Another week of data, another update to the COVID-19 observations on data variability, backdating noise, and maybe - maybe - a little bit of very cautious optimism.
Backdating continues to confound Colorado COVID-19 data to the point that we still can't justify the relaxation of the statewide stay-at-home order.
No COVID-19 data from the last week should be used to make any irreversible decisions about COVID-19 policy in the state of Colorado, and based on the analysis below, data from as far as two weeks ago should be considered suspect.
My previous COVID-19 projections used Colorado COVID case data incorrectly, and the correction I made yesterday shows a rosier picture.
All in all, we're doing OK here in Colorado. There are good signs, but some worrying ones too. So we need to keep it up. Keep staying at home when you can. Wash your hands. Wear masks. And stay healthy out there.