New cases may have stabilized, at least temporarily. But new hospitalizations and new deaths continue to rise, just as we're about to reopen the industrial-sized petri dishes known as schools across Colorado.
If people had followed public health guidelines we'd be able to reopen schools. But they didn't, and now we can't. The data shows why.
The rate of new cases in Colorado is increasing again. New hospitalizations are flat and expected to start increasing again. Deaths are presently and thankfully few compared to even a month ago, but will start climbing when hospitalizations increase.
There's not a lot of change from last week to this week's COVID data, except that number of of new cases, hospitalizations, and deaths per day is stabilizing, rather than continuing to drop.
No COVID-19 data from the last week should be used to make any irreversible decisions about COVID-19 policy in the state of Colorado, and based on the analysis below, data from as far as two weeks ago should be considered suspect.
My previous COVID-19 projections used Colorado COVID case data incorrectly, and the correction I made yesterday shows a rosier picture.